The Chinese venture of the British semiconductor icon began operating as an independent company and conducted its own in-house R&D to create new IP. Dylan Patel, Chief Analyst at SemiAnalysis, even penned a piece titled: ‘The Semiconductor Heist Of The Century – Arm China Has Gone Completely Rogue’.

Arm-owner SoftBank sold 51 percent of its stake in the Chinese venture, Arm Limited, to a consortium of Chinese investors for $775 million. With its remaining stake, SoftBank no longer had a majority to make any major decisions.

Arm China fired its CEO, Allen Wu, in June 2020 after he was accused of offering discounts to customers if they invested in his side hustle, Alphatecture. However, Wu refused to leave arguing that: “Arm China did not convene any valid board meeting”.

What followed was lawsuits to oust Wu from his post. In the meantime, Wu reportedly got rid of staff loyal to Arm from Arm China and even employed security guards in a bid to keep out unwanted guests to retain his position.

However, Nikkei and Reuters have reported that Wu has now been removed.

SoftBank will be pleased with the news as the certainty it provides will make it easier for the company to launch an IPO of Arm.

Arm is set to launch an IPO after the collapse of a $40 billion acquisition offer from Nvidia. The deal collapsed following scrutiny from numerous global regulators that were concerned Nvidia could limit rivals’ access to Arm’s chip designs or shift resources towards areas that benefit its new owner.

SoftBank considered and subsequently rejected the idea of pursuing an IPO (Initial Public Offering) of the company in 2019 and again in early 2020.

“We contemplated an IPO but determined that the pressure to deliver short-term revenue growth and profitability would suffocate our ability to invest, expand, move fast, and innovate,” explained Simon Segars, CEO of Arm, in January.

The company’s hand is now being somewhat forced through a lack of alternative options.

Arm has struggled from relatively flat revenues and rising costs despite the huge success of the company’s licensees such as Apple, Qualcomm, and Amazon. However, SoftBank has been keen to hype the company’s future prospects.

“Arm is becoming a centre of innovation not only in the mobile phone revolution, but also in cloud computing, automotive, the Internet of Things, and the metaverse, and has entered its second growth phase,” said Masayoshi Son, Representative Director, Corporate Officer, Chairman, and CEO of SoftBank Group.

In March, Arm announced that it was cutting up to 1,000 jobs from its global workforce. The move was seen as a bid to show potential investors that it’s running a leaner operation.

“To stay competitive, we need to remove duplication of work now that we are one Arm; stop work that is no longer critical to our future success; and think about how we get work done,” wrote Arm CEO Rene Haas in an email to staff.

Haas, the former head of Arm’s intellectual property unit, recently took over as the company’s chief executive as part of its internal strategy shakeup to help navigate it through these choppy waters.

(Photo by Laurent Perren on Unsplash)

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The deal caught the attention of global regulators with anti-competition investigations launched in several jurisdictions including the UK, EU, and US.

In November 2021, UK Digital Secretary Nadine Dorries decided to block the merger pending the results of a 24-week ‘Phase 2’ investigation.

With the merger looking almost impossible to be approved by regulators, Nvidia has decided to throw in the towel.

Jensen Huang, Founder and CEO of Nvidia, said:

“Arm has a bright future, and we’ll continue to support them as a proud licensee for decades to come.

Arm is at the centre of the important dynamics in computing. Though we won’t be one company, we will partner closely with Arm.

The significant investments that Masa has made have positioned Arm to expand the reach of the Arm CPU beyond client computing to supercomputing, cloud, AI, and robotics.

I expect Arm to be the most important CPU architecture of the next decade.”

Arm has struggled from relatively flat revenues and rising costs despite the huge success of the company’s licensees such as Apple, Qualcomm, and Amazon.

SoftBank, Arm’s current owner, considered and subsequently rejected the idea of pursuing an IPO (Initial Public Offering) of the company in 2019 and again in early 2020.

“We contemplated an IPO but determined that the pressure to deliver short-term revenue growth and profitability would suffocate our ability to invest, expand, move fast, and innovate,” explained Simon Segars, CEO of Arm, last month.

Following the collapse of the Nvidia acquisition, Softbank will now have to reconsider an IPO for Arm.

Dr Lil Read, Analyst in the Thematic Research Team at GlobalData, commented:

“Softbank now needs to think of Arm’s future. An initial public offering (IPO) looks likely – the UK government would surely like to see the home-grown chip designer float in London, and potential IPO reforms could create the perfect environment for this. 

Otherwise, Arm may be ripe for a takeover by a private equity consortium backed by chip-friendly giants such as Apple, Qualcomm, and TSMC – Arm’s largest customers.”

Some of Nvidia’s rivals are said to have offered to invest in Arm if it helps the company to remain independent. A takeover from a private equity consortium looks to be Arm’s best option. If the company has to launch an IPO, it could struggle and will face some difficult choices.

Arm’s largest market, mobile, is saturated. The company will struggle to crack the datacentre and PC markets in the face of strong incumbents like Intel and AMD that have established ecosystem of developers, software, systems, and peripherals, and profits that enable them to make large R&D investments.

In an earlier response to the UK’s Competition and Markets Authority, aiming to quell the regulator’s fears about its acquisition of Arm, Nvidia wrote:

“Nvidia is particularly concerned that these pressures would drive Arm to deprioritize datacenter and PC and to instead focus on its core mobile and growing IoT businesses.

The result would be a concentrated CPU market largely controlled by Intel/AMD (x86).”

Capital markets would likely expect Arm to cut costs to maximise the company’s value. However, SoftBank sounds bullish on its prospects.

“Arm is becoming a centre of innovation not only in the mobile phone revolution, but also in cloud computing, automotive, the Internet of Things, and the metaverse, and has entered its second growth phase,” said Masayoshi Son, Representative Director, Corporate Officer, Chairman, and CEO of SoftBank Group.

Arm has announced a management shake-up in the wake of Nvidia’s exit from the deal.

Rene Haas, the former head of Arm’s intellectual property unit, will take over as the company’s chief executive and lead it during these challenging times. Haas previously worked at Nvidia for seven years.

With the Nvidia acquisition off the table, we can only hope that Haas finds a way to ensure Arm can continue to deliver the semiconductor innovation that it has for three decades.

(Photo by Dustin Tramel on Unsplash)

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